Lens have failed to win their last nine meetings with PSGThe hosts lost six of their last seven Ligue 1 gamesPSG have won 10 of their last 12 away trips in the leagueThe visitors have scored in 32 straight away tripsPSG face challenge without stars
The French champions kick off their Ligue 1 campaign without their star front four, as Kylian Mbappe, Neymar, Angel Di Maria and Mauro Icardi have all tested positive for COVID-19. That’s hit their squad going into this one, but obviously the wealthy Champions League runners-up have the depth to cope.
They are still favoured for this visit to Lens, but the absentees have given us a rare opportunity to get behind PSG on the match result market in our prediction.
Can Lens end poor PSG run?
Lens have failed to win any of their last nine Ligue 1 matches against PSG (D4 L5), after avoiding defeat in the previous 11 (W7 D4). That’s hardly surprising given how the side from Paris have changed in recent years. Lens have also failed to win of their last seven home matches against PSG in Ligue 1 (D4 L3), so the visitors should be confident.
The hosts have some poor Ligue 1 form overall to deal with here. Lens have lost six of their last seven Ligue 1 matches. The hosts lost six of their last 10 home matches in Ligue 1 (W2 D2), while we see them being outclassed by this PSG side on Thursday.
Champions to make winning start
The hosts are looking to pick back up after their Champions League final defeat, while they can extend some great league form here. Paris are unbeaten in their last 15 Ligue 1 matches (W13 D2), their longest run in the top-flight since May 2018-January 2019 (21). On top of that, the visitors have won 10 of their last 12 matches away from home in Ligue 1.
While the away side won’t be at full strength, they’re set to start three of the back four from the Champions League final, a solid midfield including Marco Verratti and Idrissa Gueye and a frontline including Pablo Sarabia and Julian Draxler. It may not be PSG at their usual strength, but they’re more than able to extend the scoring streak that has seen them find the net in each of their last 32 matches away from home in Ligue 1 (73 goals overall).
We’re backing an away win as our pick here, while we’re going with a 2-0 win for the visitors as our correct score prediction.
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